Uriel238 [all pronouns]

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 25th, 2023

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  • One episode of How Money Works (this one, I think) talks about how the AI and tech companies would simultaneously insist that Chinese AI was a national security problem (and therefore we should deregulate AI research) while simultaneously arguing they should be allowed to sell their chips to China.

    That was before Chinese models made some serious gains and is catching up to the capability of Anthropic.

    So the AI sector here in the States has been duplicitous about its status.

    Also in recent news (like here), OpenAI is seeking to borrow $1.5 trillion while only expecting to make $20 billion in profits.

    Also prices have risen on AI tokens, to the point they exceed the salaries of the workers AI was allegedly going to replace.

    I think the US AI sector promised too much and has been trying to catch up by feeding more and more resources to the development process. I remember some sci-fi stories / hypotheticals about self-replicating AI being asked a super-difficult question and in an effort to get smart enough to answer it, the AI system ate the earth. We’re doing exactly that, except with humans involved, who can’t seem to help themselves.



  • This is commonplace. There’s a reason that the kids call their youth pastor the freak of the week, because the previous one just got booted for being too creepy and the new one is likely no less.

    I have a hypothesis about it, as youth pastors are supposed to council teens while also selling them Jesus (and devotion to this specific church). Counciling really needs to be unconditionally in good faith. Selling them something falls right in to the chasm of serving two masters, and once the pastor is betraying his flock to push the church agenda, it becomes too tempting to also push a personal agenda. And teens struggling with personal problems (and often family or society problems) can be super grateful and easily manipulable when you actually help them.

    This is one of the reasons teachers are supposed to be trained, credentialed and professional. Part of that training is being aware of the social dynamics that can be mistaken for romance on egalitarian terms, and it’s so not. And then, teachers still occasionally wreck their careers by getting involved with their favored students.

    Youth pastors are not trained in this at all, so that even ones who didn’t go in intending to be a predator will sometimes yield to temptation.

    And tech guys tasked with creating social media for children are not appropriately trained either, and in fact no-one is even thinking of it.











  • The valuation of the stock is based on Musk doing what he’s always done, which is making seemingly impossible promises sometime in the future.

    You know what he promised by 2025? A fleet of driverless Tesla taxis. xAI producing the first AGI. A human being on Mars planting a flag.

    You know what the evaluation of SpaceX is based on? The promise of a Mars colony with one million human inhabitants, and space-based data centers. It’s going to be decades before it’s worth the IPO, if ever.

    In the meantime SpaceX is in debt 20 billion, and is bleeding money. It lost $4.94 billion in 2025.

    So it looks to me like a private equity project. Like Toys 'R Us or Radio Shack or Claire’s. Remember those?

    And Nasdaq-100 is fast-tracking SpaceX into its portfolio after 15 days. Soon, pension funds and 401(k)s are going to feature SpaceX stocks. So when it does implode, a lot of worker-class folk are going to eat the loss.

    You know who I bet will not be eating the loss? Trillionaire Elon Musk.