I agree with your take, but I also agree with GL on this one… if you continue to get around in horse drawn carriages because cars are smelly and dangerous and non-traditional, you’re going to get left behind.
There are plenty of things horses and carriages are “better at” than cars, particularly traversing long distances in a country with streams and fields and no gas stations. However… there are also things that cars are better at than horses and carriages…
I used to program in assembly language about 10-30% of my working time, up through the early 1990s. What changed? Optimizing compilers finally got better at writing assembly code than me. They had been around for decades, but they had always been a little bit lacking, until then. I still code for a living, but I haven’t even looked at an aseembly listing in 25 years. I get significantly more done, faster and more reliably using compiled (and interpreted) languages than I do using assembly code, which I used to be able to use to make the complied (and especially interpreted) programs dramatically faster. Compilers do that for me now.
As of today, AI is kicking my ass at reviewing my colleagues’ code. It’s not saving me any work, I spend 2-3x more time in code reviews now than I did before AI code review “was a thing” - but now, those code reviews are 20-50x more valuable than they used to be. We’re catching many more problems in the code (and documentation) at review time, not after the software gets into customers’ hands. That’s a very good thing, and today I would consider anyone who ships critical code without an AI review to be negligent.
I don’t like to be cold like this, but I think “creatives” need to depend less on their agents and production companies and all that industry infrastructure promising 1 in a million “stardom” while stringing the other 999,999 along with breadcrumbs leading nowhere.
The same technology they’re bitching about destroying those jobs that most of them never had in the first place, is technology that enables smaller budgets to create competitive entertainment. Self-publishing is a very real thing now alongside traditional “Best Seller List” promotional publishing houses. No, you’re not likely to get on “Oprah” or whatever the magic promotional outlet is these days with your self published book, but every creative who achieves that kind of stardom that virtually all of them are hungering for is absolutely stealing the limelight from hundreds or even thousands of other people just as talented as themselves or more…
In other words, stop whining and start making things happen for yourself, you have better access today than ever. There’s still a place for superstars in today’s world, but instead of the “top 100” getting all the attention, it’s time for a top 10 to be followed by 10,000 you might also want to check out. The long tail has gotten fatter, and it should continue to grow.
I agree with your take, but I also agree with GL on this one… if you continue to get around in horse drawn carriages because cars are smelly and dangerous and non-traditional, you’re going to get left behind.
There are plenty of things horses and carriages are “better at” than cars, particularly traversing long distances in a country with streams and fields and no gas stations. However… there are also things that cars are better at than horses and carriages…
I used to program in assembly language about 10-30% of my working time, up through the early 1990s. What changed? Optimizing compilers finally got better at writing assembly code than me. They had been around for decades, but they had always been a little bit lacking, until then. I still code for a living, but I haven’t even looked at an aseembly listing in 25 years. I get significantly more done, faster and more reliably using compiled (and interpreted) languages than I do using assembly code, which I used to be able to use to make the complied (and especially interpreted) programs dramatically faster. Compilers do that for me now.
As of today, AI is kicking my ass at reviewing my colleagues’ code. It’s not saving me any work, I spend 2-3x more time in code reviews now than I did before AI code review “was a thing” - but now, those code reviews are 20-50x more valuable than they used to be. We’re catching many more problems in the code (and documentation) at review time, not after the software gets into customers’ hands. That’s a very good thing, and today I would consider anyone who ships critical code without an AI review to be negligent.
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I don’t like to be cold like this, but I think “creatives” need to depend less on their agents and production companies and all that industry infrastructure promising 1 in a million “stardom” while stringing the other 999,999 along with breadcrumbs leading nowhere.
The same technology they’re bitching about destroying those jobs that most of them never had in the first place, is technology that enables smaller budgets to create competitive entertainment. Self-publishing is a very real thing now alongside traditional “Best Seller List” promotional publishing houses. No, you’re not likely to get on “Oprah” or whatever the magic promotional outlet is these days with your self published book, but every creative who achieves that kind of stardom that virtually all of them are hungering for is absolutely stealing the limelight from hundreds or even thousands of other people just as talented as themselves or more…
In other words, stop whining and start making things happen for yourself, you have better access today than ever. There’s still a place for superstars in today’s world, but instead of the “top 100” getting all the attention, it’s time for a top 10 to be followed by 10,000 you might also want to check out. The long tail has gotten fatter, and it should continue to grow.
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I’d call myself more “creative adjacent” but, to your “or with” question: definitely yes.
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