• HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
    0·
    2 months ago

    Unfortunately I think this is it for Iran, they can only do two things now: full scorched earth or capitulate. And it’s likely going to be capitulate.

    They can’t tit for tat after today’s attacks. The US went after infrastructure this time. If they close the strait again they’re prepared to go to full war.

    I think. What the fuck do I know. But would bet within 48 hours:

    1. Surrender by the Iranian regime, much better terms than currently negotiated.
    2. US ground invasion to topple the regime.
    3. Iran goes all out closing the strait, bombing everything within reach, fully mobilizing military

    Edit: I realize now people are reading this as all 3 will happen which is stupid, but doesn’t surprise me.

    Looks like number 3 is unfolding

      • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
        0·
        2 months ago

        The US can flatten their infrastructure at will. They can only withstand so much of that before the calculus they’ve been working under changes.

        Iran was benefitting from the war for a large part of it. No longer.